H ere's where Tammy lies right now . Hurricane Tammy Kid Vine ...
and where it's headed: Tammy's center is simply east of Guadeloupe as it approaches the northwest. Tammy has actually enhanced decently considering that Friday night.
The storm reinforced into a cyclone on Friday early morning in the tropical Atlantic. This is an uncommon location for a cyclone to form this late in the year, according to Dr. Phil Klotzbach, a tropical scientist at Colorado State University.
By early in the week ahead, Tammy ought to turn northward, then northeastward out to sea and not be an issue for the continental United States.
The path northward away from the Caribbean has actually become less particular. Tammy was initially expected to be recorded by a cold front by the middle of the upcoming week, but computer guidance is now recommending that the storm may drift around between Puerto Rico and Bermuda for a long time.
Cyclone Katrina (August 2005) became a large and exceptionally powerful hurricane that triggered huge damage and significant death. It is the costliest cyclone to ever hit the United States, exceeding the record previously held by Hurricane Andrew from 1992.
Typhoon Katrina - Wikipedia
The largest loss of life in Hurricane Katrina was because of flooding brought on by engineering defects in the flood security system, especially the levee around the city of New Orleans. Ultimately, 80% of the city, in addition to large locations in surrounding parishes, were flooded for weeks.
Cyclone warnings have now been issued for numerous islands in the northeast Caribbean. That suggests typhoon conditions are expected in a few of these locations. You can see the most recent warnings and watches in the map below.
Heavy rainfall, strong winds and high surf from Tammy ought to spread across the eastern Caribbean islands through Saturday. Those impacts will last through a minimum of early Sunday in some locations.
Rainfall overalls could be 4 to 8 inches (in your area as much as 12 inches) in the Leeward Islands. The northern Windward Islands may see 2 to 4 inches of rain (in your area approximately 6 inches). Parts of eastern Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands could see 1 to 2 inches of rains (in your area up to 4 inches).
T he heavy rainfall could trigger flooding and mudslides in some of these areas.
Norma, now a Classification 1 storm as of 2 p.m. ET, is anticipated to move over or near parts of Mexico's Baja California Sur-- consisting of Cabo San Lucas-- late Saturday afternoon or early evening, the National Typhoon Center stated.
Air Force Reserve Cyclone Hunters observed Norma's center situated offshore just west of Cabo San Lucas on Saturday afternoon, and typhoon and conditions were taking place over some areas of of southern Baja California Sur, according to the cyclone center.
Norma is expected to be somewhat weaker by the time it hits land, but it still will be a cyclone that might bring lethal conditions to a tourist-friendly region that's home to a few hundred thousand individuals, the hurricane center said.
In the Atlantic Ocean, meanwhile, Typhoon Tammy-- a Classification 1 storm as of Saturday afternoon-- has actually set off hurricane cautions for parts of the Leeward Islands, a chain of several island countries and territories in between the Caribbean Sea and the open Atlantic. Tammy's winds gained ground to 85 miles per hour.
Neither storm is a danger to the United States.
In the Atlantic, Tammy preserved maximum sustained winds of 85 miles per hour and was focused about 25 miles north-northeast of Guadeloupe, the National Typhoon Center stated at 2 p.m. ET.
The Classification 1 hurricane was located about 50 miles southeast of Antigua by Saturday afternoon, the hurricane center said.
Tammy is anticipated to move near or over portions of the Leeward Islands-- consisting of Guadeloupe and Antigua and Barbuda-- through Saturday night, and after that move north of the northern Leeward Islands on Sunday.
Hurricane-force winds extended outside up to 25 miles from the storm's center and tropical storm-force winds extended external up to 125 miles.
Hurricanes in this part of the Atlantic are rare for late October. Tammy is just the third cyclone to form this far southeast in the Atlantic since 1900, according to cyclone specialist Michael Lowry.
It's likewise the latest-forming typhoon in this part of the Atlantic given that 1966, according to Phil Klotzbach, a research researcher in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University.
Typhoon professionals previously warned cyclones might form in uncommon areas later in the season this year because of the extremely warm Atlantic Ocean.
A storm rise of 1 to 3 feet is possible for parts of the Leeward Islands.
Heavy rainfall will be one of the storm's most severe hazards and could lead to flash flooding and mudslides. Rainfall totals for the Leeward Islands are expected to be 4 to 8 inches, but might reach a foot in places where the heaviest rain establishes. Rain should be lighter in Puerto Rico and the British and United States Virgin Islands, where 1 to 2 inches of rain is most likely.
Conditions will start to improve from south to north across the island chain by late Sunday as the storm moves north out of the area.
With Tammy in the Atlantic, just 2 names are left-- Vince and Whitney-- on the standard Atlantic storm name list before the hurricane center turns to an alternate list of names.
Hurricane Tammy